Initial feedback from Hawthorne and Breeders’ Cup:
Conspicuously absent from the list of qualifying races is the Illinois Derby at Hawthorne. A Grade 3 worth at least $500,000 every year except one (2011) since 1991, the Illinois Derby has failed to produce a noteworthy Triple Crown horse the last couple seasons, but has done so several times in the last decade.
“I just found out this morning,” said Hawthorne president Tim Carey. “It’s mind-blowing to me that we could be left out of the mix. Churchill Downs, I guess they control racing in the United States these days. We’re still going to have the race. We’re not going anywhere.”
The changes also reduce the stature of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile as a Derby qualifying race. Jim Gluckson, a spokesman for Breeders’ Cup, said: “We have seen the new Derby qualifying points system today and are reviewing it. If we have some suggestions and comments on it, we’ll forward those to Churchill Downs.”
The defense Churchill Downs is giving for the change:
He said the graded-stakes earnings system has given tracks incentives to create races that were not ideal in determining which horses should be eligible to run in the Derby.
“We [Churchill] should be making sure we have the proper path to the Derby,” Flanery said. “It’s all about making sure that on the first Saturday of May we have the best horses, the best competition, the best story, the best event possible.”
I’d be two faced if I said that I haven’t concurred in the past there should be a means to downgrade the 2-yr old efforts vs. 3-yr spring efforts from having the same weight.
Further I’ve said I’m not a big fan of sprint races on the ‘Road to the Derby’ as a litmus test either. So by CD addressing both is positive, however only to a degree as the other narrowing actions are almost more bad than good. I think discounting filly races, only recognizing effectively a tight knit group of graded races, and discounting altogether turf races (which generally are longer in distance) is very shortsighted.
Outside of the glaring Illinois Derby decision why, for example, nix a race like the Keeneland run $100,000 Transylvania (G3-T) from having any implication? It’s at 1 1/16th mil on the turf and occurs during the hotly contested pre-Derby run-up period their fixated on. A developing 3-yr old horse can get to stretch out - yet now no would be Derby horse will ever run in that.
The point system might suggest simplicity but honestly outside of a very hard core number of fans few will put together a top 20 list until the end of December. From there tracking the graded races (and the corresponding money available from graded earnings) isn’t exactly rocket science to grasp and follow.