Statistically, yes.
But the targets and victims have changed. True or not, it used to seem that if you weren’t involved in certain neighborhoods and activities, you didn’t have much to worry about. But now the evil has come hunting in places that never had these problems before.
This is an age when school children and workplaces are conducting training for active shootings, even in small towns. With follow-up reminders. With wall signs “in the event of an active shooter”.
AND more people and acquaintances than we would like are having to use that training in a real incident. Businesses and schools have realized that they can’t afford to take the position “it can’t happen here”. It has happened in places that it was never expected before. It has happened in many small businesses although that doesn’t make the news as much.
It’s actually happening so often that most incidents no longer make the national news. There isn’t enough news time to cover them all. And even those that are covered can be overshadowed by the next incident a week later (Buffalo grocery store followed within days by Uvalde elementary school).
I used to think ‘statistically this is highly unlikely for any individual’. It also used to be that if you lived in small-medium sized communities (most Americans) it didn’t happen here.
Now it happens here. In 2018 when the school shooting killed 10 and wounded 13 in Santa Fe, Texas, not terribly far from where I live, is when my brain just stopped. Santa Fe, TX is population less than 13,000. The high school has less than 1,500 total students. It is one of the least noticeable and least memorable places on earth. If that can happen in Santa Fe, it can truly happen anywhere.
And did. What on earth had the elementary students in Uvalde done to attract a school shooter.
Every school kid over about 10 years old, and every college kid, that has spoken when the subject came up has said that they know the safest way out of any classroom. They say that cheerfully, it is part of their daily life. And if they can’t get out, they have a basic plan for what to do to be as safe as possible in place.
I don’t know if this is what has today’s parents hovering over their children, though.