I didn’t personally know this young rider or her connections since I have been out of the competition game for a few years, and I only just heard of this tragic accident. That said, my deepest heartfelt condolences go out to all those involved. It’s heartbreaking on so many levels. Now that some time has passed, perhaps it’s a better moment to add to this discussion.
It’s been an arduous few months in the US equestrian scene, with some very high profile horse and rider deaths - from Mongolian Groom who shattered his left hind in a high stakes race, to Princess Dorian who succumbed to complications following her injury, to Archie at the PAU 5*, and now this young horse and rider duo among numerous others.
I, like several members posting in this thread, have been looking for concrete evidence on potential risk factors that are a catalyst in these types of accidents for some time. The idea behind this being that we can arm ourselves to make better decisions in the face of an inherently risky and dangerous sport.
While we can rely on the FEI, USEA, and USEF to thoroughly investigate, as some of you have mentioned (which they do), they, unfortunately, cannot make decisions for anyone - unless it’s in a competition setting and they are adding additional safety protocols. There’s also no guarantee that you or I will ever find these reports without actively searching them out to make a well informed decision.
I say all of this because this accident, in particular, has been extremely eye-opening for me, and will likely make me rethink how to bring up my children in their future riding careers.
Here’s what I have found: The FEI has conducted numerous studies on horse falls (both rotational and non-rotational) to isolate risk factors on cross country courses. Below are the links.
From 2011 - https://inside.fei.org/system/files/…es_Barnett.pdf
from 2016 - https://inside.fei.org/system/files/…2026.07.16.pdf
From 2018 - https://www.an-eventful-life.com.au/…28.02.2018.pdf
The chance of a rotational fall resulting in serious injury or death, based on findings from the 2018 study, is an abysmal 0.0070%. The potential for this type of scenario happening (2011 & 2016 study) comes down to the horse’s age, the rider’s experience, and the type of jump.
Horses under 8y/o (regardless of rider experience) are at a higher risk of falling. Inexperienced riders (category D or lower) are also at a higher risk of falling. Beyond that, I think we all know that different types of jumps vary in their risk factors (I’d be happy to elaborate if needed) along with the speed they are taken at.
Without knowing the details of the jump they fell at or their method of approach, it seems like the combo can be classified into at least two of the four categories - the horse was 7 (correct me if I am wrong) and she just started competing at training level. I don’t think anyone that’s just starting at the low/mid-levels of competition can be considered an experienced rider - whether they are 30 or 13. That’s not to say that she wasn’t extremely talented (clearly she was), just that the combined inexperience of herself and her horse led to a very very very rare and fatal error.
I think one problem is that we are confusing talent with experience, and perhaps not adjusting ourselves accordingly.
Another prime dilemma here is, how do we advance in the sport without challenging ourselves and putting ourselves at risk? That is, attempting higher and more difficult obstacles to become that experienced and risk-averse rider. TBH, I don’t have all the answers.
In the height of my competition career (2*) I found myself in numerous dicey situations that could have resulted in very serious injuries. Maybe I was just lucky or maybe my coach was a genius and made calculated risks that leaned the odds in my favor.
After reading these reports though, I will be ultra-careful in considering how to pair my young riders with suitable mounts to reduce that risk - even if it is just a little bit.
One idea that sticks out to me is always pairing inexperienced riders with older, more reliable horses - regardless of their actual skill level. A 15-year-old 2* or 3* school master, for example, could help a rider just learning the ropes to gain necessary experience in a safer manner, but of course, there are so many more caveats. A horse of that caliber is not easy to find, is inevitably not cheap, and has to match the riding style of the rider.
Personally, I didn’t start working with young horses (6y/o or less) until I was riding intermediate level courses comfortably.
Anyways, that’s my two cents. I hope I haven’t offended anyone with my objective opinion, but in any case, I truly apologize - that is not at all my intention. I do hope that we can learn something (even just the group of us on this forum) from this unfortunate mishap and not let her passing go in vain.
Peace, Love & Healing to all.