Ugh, sorry to hear you’re going through this. From my very distant perspective, I would guess abscess(es) over cellulitis. Abscesses often lead to swollen legs and that kind of lingering on/off again heat/swelling/soreness. IME, cellulitis is usually an “OMG MY LEG IS BROKEN!!” level of pain from the horse. And usually the swelling is extremely dramatic…and doesn’t change until you address it somehow. And I have never seen cellulitis without a fairly dramatic fever. But with horses I guess YMMV??
My TB has gotten an annual bout of cellulitis in his RH for something like 12 or 13 years now? (I’ve posted about it extensively, so I’m sure there are many many posts from me here talking about it). Leg blows up, seems like he’s broken something serious, we give him antibiotics (for many years penicillin + gentamicin + Uniprim, and more recently just Excede) and within 24 hours he’s sound but has a giant leg for a while. Now he’s at the point (at age 22) where his leg stays somewhat swollen all the time, though as long as I keep him in his BOT wrap, he seems to do ok. He can’t have bute or banamine, so we’re a bit limited on pain management and usually stick to Gabapentin or tylenol.
But with all of that being said, I just went through the most godawful experience with an abscess. Horse had to be dragged in from his pasture with a massive swollen LH (it was the “wrong” leg) and a fever. Had the vet out, she didn’t seem too concerned that it was the wrong leg, and we gave him Naxcel and Excede. Rather than getting better as usual he went downhill. His whole leg blew up and was massive through his hip and into his sheath with additional edema pooling in front of his sheath. Abscesses were evident as he had slits all around his hoof (both heel bulbs and on the lateral side) where they had been seeping out. He was barely moving and all of the skin was sloughing off of his LH, which was leaking serum from fetlock to groin.
Had the farrier out to see what he could find (answer was “nothing”). Had the vet back out, shot some x-rays (my farrier was predicting tendon sheath infection, another vet was predicting some other horrid infection), and we saw a subsolar abscess and the tiniest little gravel working it’s way into his heel. The vet dug it out and he has VERY SLOWLY been improving since. We’re at 2 weeks and he’s just now starting to put any weight on that heel again.
The post-episode analysis is that he developed an abscess from that tiny little bit of gravel working it’s way in and then got hit with cellulitis from the abscess. That hit boiling point and then we gave him antibiotics and it all chilled it out a bit which allowed things to just keep festering. So we’ve been in this waiting period while the antibiotics work their way out of his system and hoping that the abscess fully ruptures once that’s done.
All of that to say that abscesses can do any and everything. And if it’s wet where you are it certainly wouldn’t be unusual for there to be multiple abscesses. I’ve always suspected that was the “real” start to every one of my horse’s cellulitis episodes over the years…an abscess inside that just goes buck wild with his immune system. I’m interested in the Cu/Zn supplements people here have mentioned and have ordered both to supplement his feed with. Would love to find a way to cut down on all of this! But also…horses. And the switching hind legs could mean some systemic infection that will be dealt with via antibiotics.
But either way, in your position, I’m not sure I would be assuming this is anything more than a one-off episode. And it certainly doesn’t sound like cellulitis…or at least like any cellulitis I’ve experienced. So I wouldn’t drive yourself crazy watching for every little sign from now on. I think that just comes with the experience of more episodes (which hopefully won’t be the case). And at least in my guy’s case, the first sign is always that he quits eating. Then he stops moving. Then the leg goes BAM into double size. And all of that happens in the matter of hours. Either way, hope you don’t have to deal with it again!