I honestly would be very surprised if this was an advanced pay scam. Anything is possible. But right now we’re in a pandemic. The horse sales market is hot. Equine vets are stretched thin. OP seems to be in a remoteish area. What is more likely? That the buyers are indeed having trouble arranging the logistics (or even just dicking around) or that there is an advanced pay scam? I think the odds are much better that either the sellers ARE being honest and they’re having some trouble setting things up (earliest small animal dermatology appointment I could book was FOUR MONTHS OUT and I called 12 places and was willing to drive up to two hours) or they’re just being lazy/non-diligent/don’t care that much. I can think of a million more likely scenarios than the advanced pay scam here, including that they just aren’t THAT motivated on this horse (maybe they’re having cold feet or trying other ones in the meantime or having some sort of intra-family dispute about paying the money or who KNOWS what).
I did work retail for 5 years before going to law school. So I’m not totally unaware of how the world works. Yes, people will scam each other in all sorts of creative ways and for even small sums of money, but here’s why this does not strike me as an advanced pay scam.
Here’s all the effort you would have to go to to even set this scam up…
- Find a horse for sale (easy)
- Call and make arrangements to try it (easy)
- Make up a backstory (easy)
- Research the name of an equine vet just far enough away that that person couldn’t come (medium level difficulty unless you’re a horse person)
- Show up to try the horse, in the process expending fuel, roping in at least 1 adult and the child rider to show up, and spend minimum an hour of time out there. Plus you have to outfit the kid in riding clothes so she can pass (hard)
- Have the rider actually ride the horse and look sufficiently capable that the seller doesn’t pull you off and tell you to take a hike. You literally have to have the rider try the horse and appear to be an appropriate rider. And per the OP this is a young green horse. So you have to have a capable child fellow scammer who can not only ride a greenie but talk the talk too (hard)
- All the while during the trial ride, the rider and other adult both have to talk the talk and walk the walk in terms of being legitimate. Meaning you have to know the name of a barn where you board, a vet you use, horse terminology, discuss planned use for the horse-- and none of this can set off alarm bells so it has to be a pretty airtight story that both the adult and child can get perfect during the entire time you’re out there (hard)
- Talk the seller into giving you time to arrange a vetting with a refundable deposit if you can’t find a vet in time (lots of sellers would say “no thanks” I’m not holding the horse, others would say "I’ll hold it but the deposit is non refundable, and other sellers would just agree to hold the horse for a week without a deposit, thus thwarting the scam). So you have to find that perfect seller who will agree to hold the horse with a refundable deposit. And you probably can’t figure out if the seller will agree until you’ve done steps 1-7 already (hard)
- You have to actually luck out and NOT have vets willing to go to the seller’s barn to do the PPE when the seller herself calls them (hard)
- All the while you have to talk the talk and walk the walk while this is happening so the seller doesn’t suspect . Meaning you have to research the names of equine vets and correspond with the seller about your efforts to get them out (hard)
- Then you have to hope the seller actually cashed your scam check and writes you a good one. A lot of sellers would just hold the check, not deposit it, and return it to the buyer if the sale didn’t happen (hard)
A lot of this is just way too hard and too much trouble for the average scammer. And many of these steps are wholly outside the scammer’s control— for this to work the way you’re suggesting it does SO MUCH is left to chance.
The difference between the above scenario and the situations you outlined is that those scammers had an easy/low investment route to the scam. This has to be the most complicated and high effort advanced pay scam ever if that’s indeed what it is.
Plus in order for this to even make sense, you have to read a bunch of facts into what the OP has told us. The most major fact missing here, which is critical for this to be an advanced pay scam, is that the deposit is even refundable! If the buyers gave her a non-refundable deposit… the scam doesn’t work.
There are also some major differences between retail theft (which after being a manager in a mall store for several years I am not unfamiliar with) and passing bad checks. I am well aware that people will steal all kinds of stuff and act in really stupid ways… but this isn’t pile robbing from the GAP. We’re talking about an orchestrated scheme here using a child as a confederate in which so many dominos have to fall perfectly in place for it to work-- all for a couple hundred bucks (out of which deduct fuel costs and the cost of buying riding clothes for the child so she can pass for a legitimate rider).
When you hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras. Based on what the OP has told us and my recent experiences horse shopping, I find it plausible that a non-horsey person who is distracted by other things could indeed be having some difficulty setting up a PPE right now for a horse in a somewhat remote location where that non-horsey person doesn’t have pre-existing relationships with the local vets. I also find it plausible that the buyers might be less than earnest for a variety of non fraud related reasons (cold feet on committing to a horse at all, cold feet on the costs, family issue that makes this suddenly a difficult time, found another horse they prefer and are pursuing that in the meantime, lazy and just don’t care that much to get the deal done, etc.) I think it’s POSSIBLE that this is a scam. Anything’s possible. But does it SCREAM out that it’s an advanced pay scam? Not to me.