The USHJA Junior Task Force would like to recommend raising the height of the Small Junior Hunter to 16.1 hands and under and the Large Junior Hunter to over 16.1 hands. The objective is to keep the Small Junior horse relevant with the times of the evolution of the horse becoming larger. Attached is Appendix A which illustrates unique horse height data of horses who have shown a minimum of five times in the Junior Hunters sections for the 2019, 2020 and 2021 calendar year. The three-year average for horses that are physically 16.0hh– 16.1hh is 6.37% competing in all of the Junior Hunter sections. Only 9.22% of horses competing in the Large Junior sections are physically 16.0-16.1hh. The data implies that physically smaller horses are the lowest percentages of horses competing in the Junior Hunters. Therefore, this indicates the physically smaller horses could be choosing not to compete in the Junior Hunter sections because they may not be competitive against the physically larger horses.
The text from the rule change proposal. Unfortunately Appendix A was not attached to the public proposal as I would like to see it… the written explanation is a bit confusing, though the numbers are about what I would expect.
I don’t think the distinction is at all arbitrary… color certainly has zero impact on athletic ability, but a 15.3h horse and a 17.3h horse are going to present very differently over a 3’6" hunter course. And as long as judges reward “slow”, the average 17.3h horse will have an advantage over the average 15.3h horse.
I’d also argue that the lines have gotten longer over the years, all while the desired tempo has gotten slower.
I also think we top out eventually; ie: we’re not likely to start seeing 18h-19h horses as a norm (though seeing too many >18h recently for my tastes…), so I don’t think this is a slippery slope scenario.
I just don’t see how this adjustment “changes the game” at all. The Large Junior numbers are too heavily weighted because horses have been bred bigger over time. All this does is distribute 6-9% of those animals back into the Small Junior classes. It has nothing to do with horsemanship?