I’m just saying - there ARE stallions who consistently produce bigger or smaller than the dam, either in size, or bone, or both. They only say that 1 TB stallion was used for all the TB embryos, and 1 pony stallion used for all the pony embryos, but that’s all I can find in that regard.
Additionally, this study, and the one on the Shire/Shetlands, were done using full TBs or full drafts and doing ET into pony mares. That’s not the same as a cross between the 2, where the genetics do mean the height and weight of the foal will be somewhere in between the 2, closer to one than the other, though a 17h stallion on a 12h pony mare, of pony breeding, is highly, highly unlikely to produce a 16.3h horse, as well as unlikely to produce something that’s only 12.3.
I am not discrediting this study or saying it doesn’t matter in the context of this thread. It’s got some really good information about the issues of the embryo that is genetically larger than the mare. In the end, this is a big key:
“However, whether these changes in growth and physiological function induced inutero persist into adult life remains to be determined”
As well, a better, more real-life study, would be to study what the OP is doing, with such a large height (and mass) difference between the stallion and the mare, and how those embryos develop in the small mare vs the large mare.
It also brings up a good point about nutrition - pony mares tend to be on the easier keeping side, and regardless of whether you’ve done ET of a large horse embryo, or doing a cross where the height difference is 5h (as is the case here), it’s going to be difficult to feed the pony mare enough food to provide the nutrition for the genetically larger foal (probably a good deal larger in this case).