Ok, so I’ve been thinking about the races this weekend…and this is what I am thinking…(not that anyone cares and I wouldn’t blame them, but I’ll say it anyway:lol:)
KY Derby thoughts at this point.
Quality Road…#1…period. Conformation, size, speed, way-of-going, size, strength, rideability, breeding, stamina…this horse is the total package. Someone is going to have to step up to beat him. Of course, a bad trip could beat him as well.
Dunkirk…#2. He may be #1 by the end of this year. Too bad he probably won’t get into the Derby. But, it may also be a blessing in disguise because if Curlin didn’t win the Derby, it will be hard for Dunkirk to. I think he will be waiting to pounce in the Preakness.
Ok, I Want Revenge romps this weekend. Pluses…this should be an easy win for him. He shouldn’t have to exert himself too much as the field is a little light in terms of depth, and he is an immensely talented individual with an absolutely beautiful way of going. Minuses…he has shipped back and forth across the country several times, which definitely takes a lot out of a horse.
Old Fashioned…toss for the KY Derby. He is a lovely animal, but I think that he has distance limitations. Win Willy is not just a one race wonder and wins again in Arkansas. Old Fashioned gets a piece of the Arkansas.
The Pamplemousse and Pioneerof the Nile are in the same boat. They are both extremely talented and distance isn’t a question (The Pamp gets his distance on his dam’s side). Julio loves the Champ, and when he speaks that highly of a horse, I tend to shut up and listen. However, the dirt surface is definitely a question for both animals… Also, PON sure has raced a whole lot. He won’t be as fresh as some of these others, but he’ll get all the help from BB and Go-Go will most likely be riding.
Fresian Fire (sp?..I always spell it wrong). I DON’T like the fact that he is training up to the KY Derby.
Musket Man…there is something that I like about this horse. Will he be the overlooked horse that shows up in this year’s derby? Could be… Not on too many top 10 lists, but I think that he should be at this point. Of course, he’ll probably run poorly up yonder now that I said this…
SA Derby Handicapping…
First off, this is a super competitive race…
PON didn’t look so sharp in his last start. May have bounced from his previous effort. Looking to rebound.
The Pamplemousse…didn’t like his workout the other day. Figure 8 added…problem is hopefully fixed. He looked fantastic in his last workout. He is a target in the SA Derby, and a rabbit is entered. Outside post. The Champ has a lot to overcome.
Chocolate Candy…the horse that I will be playing because the price will be right. Working tremendously and he is a fresh horse. He is ready to go. Not a target. He is defintely the dark horse with not a whole lot of negatives.
Rooting for Grapefruit because he’s awesome…money on Candy. I will be disappointed if I cash the ticket on Candy.
These are my thoughts right now. They may change tomorrow.
