Burghley

This was my first experience with seeing eventing live. We were enjoying all of the magic of Kentucky, and at the end of the day walked up to the Hollow to watch the BNTs jump down the banks. We were expecting a masterclass and instead it was a bloodbath. I was standing directly head on to the banks when three horses in a row hung a leg and two of those rotated over that hanging log at the top. When Ollie’s horse fell and rolled over him, his body was on the bank with his head hanging off the edge. I cannot unsee the image of his head bouncing, and I have no idea how he didn’t break his neck.

I haven’t been back to Kentucky, though just this year I thought for the first time I might be ready. (Thanks Derek!) And Kentucky, even that year, qualifies as tame relative to Badminton & Burghley. I wouldn’t dream of going to spectate there. This as a horse person and fan/volunteer/groom/supporter of eventing. If I have these dilemmas, imagine how it looks to someone from outside the industry. If the eventing community doesn’t get its house in order voluntarily, no one will like the way it goes when a government says, “Enough.”

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The original frangible - as developed from the TRL testing in research in 1999-2000 - was designed to break the trajectory of the horse and rider rotating together over an obstacle. The ‘slow rotational fall’ had been identified as the most dangerous horse/rider fall in eventing (a 29% risk of serious injury or death) and the idea was to change the trajectory of the horse so that it wouldn’t crush the rider.

What I described above is not the same thing as a ‘hard rub’. It’s actually the horse hitting the fence with the shoulder (the specific heights are in the original studies) and rotating over the fence.

The larger point here is that we need a hard reset on what exactly is the intent and purpose of these breakaway elements. If the idea is to let the horse crash through the fence, I’m all for putting proper showjumps out there rather than tree trunks and utility poles.

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I’ve continued to look at the corner at the Maltings. I don’t know the exact angle of the corner but according to FEI documentation the max angle is supposed to be 80 degrees. With that as my base I rebuilt the corner in some geometry software I have and calculated a couple of things - (1) the optimum angle for minimizing distance of the jump and (2) the impact of changing that angle with regards to the distance of the jump.

So the optimum angle came out at about 45 degrees. That is a very severe angle to approach a jump but I think most horses that are well trained can do it. I did set up a 2’ 6" jump in my yard and was able to do it with my fox hunter/eventer although we initially had a glance off or two. From watching the video it seems that at The Maltings the route from the previous oxer to the corner actually took the glance off out of play and caused the angle of approach to become larger. Normally that is a good thing in a jump.

That brings us to point 2 what happens as the angle of approach changes. I found in the software simulation that for every .5 degree change in the angle of the approach above 45 degrees, the distance required to be jumped doubled. If you were at the point of the corner this is not too terrible a penalty. But just being a little off the point really accelerated the growth of the distance. So a horse that was 2-3’ off the point was suddenly facing a very wide jump. At a certain point when the angle of approach has grown above 47 degrees the jump starts to look like a simple vertical.

IMHO how the jump was constructed with the intended path to the jump was never going to produce much for glance offs but rather the crashes that were seen.

If you watched people take the alternative route to the corner, approaching from the wide to the narrow, there were more glance offs and refusals but I don’t remember any crashes.

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I could be misremembering, but I do recall thinking that a lot of the horses that came down in the oxers and corner looked like they were thinking in midair that they were supposed to be putting their legs back down. I just don’t get the point of those big open oxers. Put something in the middle so the horses know it isn’t a bounce, or just don’t make them that wide. I don’t get why that is so difficult.

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This is heartbreaking but not shocking. Clearly now,. we can see Liz is very knowledgable and talented. No one listens, and people wonder why year after year I harp that no one cares.

Even with science based studies showing white rails cause more falls, open oxers, and open corners, not to mention these fences especially in the water…yet event after event they are used. All were used at Burghley. It seems some course designers get off on seeing what they can get away with.

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That’s an incredible find… I wonder if this is something course designers take into account, angle of approach, take-off, and effort required from end to end of the fence…?

Has anyone here, gone to any of the USEA-hosted course designing classes?

It’s gotten to the point where I seriously wonder how much science and understanding goes into course design. It seems like such a complex thing to do, but then I see jumps like the Maltings and to my eyes it looks like a series of fences that blatantly are attempting to trick the horse.

I mean, it was abundantly obvious, in so many ways, that horses would and could and do misread these wide double oxers. Anyone with a brain, knows that the wider-spaced an oxer is, the more likely a horse is to misread it as a bounce rather than a single jump…

How many horses that crashed, did so because of misreading? I’d say, almost all of them…

What’s the point of tricking a horse? I really dislike fences that punish the honesty of the horse.

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I’ve been watching the XC replay in bits and pieces, and last night I saw Woodge’s fall… wow. Nothing short of a miracle that they both were able to walk away from that. And what a sweet boy Captain was to lay there with his legs up doing everything he could to avoid crushing Woodge. The whole thing was chilling to watch.

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Although they certainly could have read the width as a bounce, it honestly looked like to me that many of the issues at those oxers were related to being able to fully clear the width and not necessarily due to them putting down their landing gear early because they were trying to bounce it. Just my opinion, though! :slight_smile:

To me it looks like they didn’t fully clear the fence, because they misread the width of the fence.

I don’t think it was a question of athleticism - every horse there, could in theory clear a fence of that width - they did so in the first two jumps on course.

Sent over today and I’ll post here what I said in my e-mail…

It’s not a great sample set bc CMP only has 4 courses vs the aggregate of the others (18), but in the quick stuff I ran, no statistical significant difference in falls (rider, horse, combined) in his courses vs the others… but the absolute numbers are still interesting. (Caveat, I am in business analytics professionally, but I’m no data scientist!)

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Just saw a comment on FB from someone at Burghley about Buck -

3 broken ribs, which did not puncture his lungs, and a broken ankle, when he pulled the horse on top of him…

Can anyone confirm?

Was he wearing an air vest??

I agree in this instance, but I also think the horses might not have seen the back rail until they were already in the air, and tried to change their trajectory but couldn’t.

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I am still catching up but holy crap, I love Unmarked Bills. That horse is pure class IMHO. I hope he heals up ASAP from his tangle, does anyone have an updates on how he is doing?

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The jump in 1978, where a lot of the carnage was, was called The Serpent. It had the horses landing into water. The issue was that it had a false ground line, which made the horses see it wrong. So many riders and horses went swimming that day. I sat on a bridge beside that jump and took photos. I have a boatload of them with the horse’s feet sticking out of the water, then the rider walking out, dripping wet. I believe it was #25 on the course?

CMP cannot retire soon enough! You could not pay me to ride one of his courses. He is notorious for getting horses and riders hurt. He does not give a crap if he does hurt them. He just blames it on the horse or rider. It is never his terrible design of the courses.

Even the girl who did the course walk with him, and she is a steeplechase rider, said that she would not attempt those huge open, white oxer/corner jumps. Thank goodness Derek diGrazia will be designing Burghley in 2021!

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It most certainly was a question of athleticism. In theory is not in practice-three huge white airy jumps in a row at that part of the course is not the same thing as early wide solid warm up jumps. Same thing with the egg carton jumps-they would have been cool earlier on, but they came so late when everybody was exhausted. It took an extraordinary horse to jump that course, not just your average or even good 5 star horse.

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Can’t confirm his injuries but I just rewatched his fall. It does not appear that he was wearing an air vest.

1hr 30min marker
https://livestream.com/burghley/events/8799670/videos/195974050

You know, as I said way earlier in the thread, I have always hated that jump, the Maltings. But OTOH, I don’t know if I have ever before seen a fall there till last week. Of course, I know they tweak fences every year so you don’t jump the same fence th same way. I also think the egg cartons were new last year, and IIRC, they were not a problem. I think the fence before and after are what caused the problems this time.

I believe the Maltings corner is where Meghan O’Donoughue had a fall in 2014, but I’m not 100% certain.

Can you run a regression analysis and see if there’s an interaction effect from “novice” (e.g., <2 five star completions) riders? You may need raw data for that, not sure if that’s available. (I’m sure EquiRatings has it, but I don’t think they’d want to be the ones who suggest CMP has a worse completion or fall rate than other desingers. :lol:)

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I believe the Maltings corner is where Meghan O’Donoughue had a fall in 2014, but I’m not 100% certain.

Well, that is the point. That was what, 5 years ago? None since then. I thought of it sort of like the Cottesmore leap. That scares the heck out of me, but I have never seen ANYONE have trouble there. Every year, I sort of watch thru my fingers, and they usually seem to go OK. So I have just sort of thought, it scares me, but I am not riding, and everyone seems to ride it OK. I think it is mostly the 3rd element. But I still think giant while logs have no place on a Cross country course. Even a ‘square’ oxer needs to have the back rail visible.

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