Can I get a sanity check on this saddle fit?

My horse has historically been very challenging to fit and it is bizarre to me that getting a saddle for my mom is not harder than it is. Can I get a sanity check on this?

The horse is 25 and tends to fluctuate with the seasons- summer is hard on him so he’s fittest in winter, and then he tends to get wither-hollowy. His weight is appropriate if not totally ideal in these pictures: his ribcage really is that big. The intention here is to find a saddle that has an appropriate shape now, with the intention to shim it as needed as his body changes over time. The last time I went through this I got a saddle that fit him well when he lightened up in the winter, but was not suitable for his summer shape.

The un-girthed pictures are pre-ride, and the girthed picture is post-ride. He has an enormous shoulder that pushes most saddles back. Don’t mind the saddle pad. It does that on everything.

Feeling it in person, I think the biggest thing to criticize is that I could do with a quarter inch more bearing surface on the inside of the back panel (towards the gullet). I’m hedging my bets a bit as I’ve seen how his back has gone from level pony-back to slightly more A-frame over the last few years. He speaks good English and I think I’m listening to what he has to say.

Am I nuts, or does this actually work?

https://imgur.com/a/XUF8wf7

Standing? Looks pretty good, especially if that girthed picture is post ride!

However, everything changes in motion and videos of him trotting are much better to really determine how the fit is (without seeing in person).

If you hold the saddle by the cantle and look down the seat toward the pommel are the two nails completely even? From the final picture the right nail looks quite a bit lower, which my fitter says can be a red flag about a twisted tree. The white knots on the back panels are also not even. Something about it from behind just seems uneven. It could be uneven panel shapes or something bigger.

Yes- what is not even is the horse. The saddle is symmetrical, the horse is neither standing square nor a particularly straight fellow at this time in his life (arthritis, etc.)

I ended up buying it on the grounds that my second guessing was entirely due to the difficulties I’ve had with fitting him in the past and not because any human who put their hands on the horse or the saddle, or the horse himself, had any concerns. We will see if this turns out to have been crazy.

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