FB Musings: How much is a horse really worth in 2025?

Thought this post by Bonnie Navin on FB was interesting and well said without getting snarky (as some similar posts do).

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1CS3qca779/?mibextid=wwXIfr

Copy-pasted:
HOW MUCH IS A HORSE REALLY WORTH IN 2025?
(Spoiler: It’s usually more than you want to spend and less than the seller swears it is.)

I get asked all the time to look over horse sale or lease contracts—sometimes as a favor, sometimes because people suspect I have “insider knowledge” from years of seeing deals cross my desk. They’re not wrong. I have, in fact, read enough contracts to wallpaper an indoor arena.

The conversation usually goes something like this:

Buyer: “This horse is such a bargain.”

Seller: “You’ll never find a deal like this again.”
And then… out come the car-salesman tactics. “We have so many people waiting in line for this horse.” Translation: If you don’t hand over the check before the pre-purchase exam, we’ll just give it to someone who won’t ask questions.

Even better? Watching someone insist their horse is worth six figures… right up until the exact same type of horse is for sale in someone else’s barn. Suddenly, that one’s “overpriced.”

The truth? A horse is worth exactly what a willing buyer will pay on that particular Tuesday. Not Monday. Not Wednesday. Tuesday.

What started this topic today was the avalanche of “ISO” (In Search Of) ads I keep seeing:

ISO 3’ show hunter, wins the hack, zero quirks, safe for a child, vet perfect. Budget: $35,000.
That’s like posting: ISO new Bentley. Budget: $3,500. Must include heated seats, chauffeur, and free gas for life.

Parents are especially guilty of this—bless them. They’re out there “helping” their kids find the perfect mount without realizing they’re wasting not only their time, but the sellers’, the trainers’, and probably the poor horse’s time, too.

Here’s a quick 2025 reality check:

A nice, sound, ribbon-getting 3’ horse (no quirks, passes the vet) starts at $75,000. Add “hack winner” or “jumps a 10” and you’re into the $125,000–$250,000 range for 3’3”.

The 3’6” division? $250,000–$500,000. From there, you might see prices drop if you factor in: questionable vetting, quirks, special-care requirements, or an age where the horse’s best party tricks involve napping in the sun.

Bombproof ponies and 2’6” packers? Worth their weight in gold. Literally. That means $50,000–$100,000 for the one that wins with your kid, your grandmother, and your neighbor’s cousin on board.

Jumpers? Oh, the wish lists here are magical:

ISO competitive, rideable, junior-safe 1.40m horse. Budget: $50,000.
Right. And I’d also like a beach house in Malibu for $200/month.
Realistically, a solid 1.25m horse for a junior or amateur starts at $125,000. A legitimate, safe 1.40m? You’re north of $350,000—and that’s if you can find one.

Sure, there are “deals.” Sometimes you can get a great horse if you’re willing to:

Buy something that’s stepping down a division.

Adopt one with a few quirks you can live with.

Rehab something that’s a little… crispy in the brain.

But if you’re an agent, your job is to protect your client’s wallet. That means finding the right horse and negotiating the best price. “I’m not here to negotiate” isn’t an acceptable line—it’s literally the job description.

So yes, I laugh when I see the “caviar taste on a bologna budget” ads. And no, the good horses are not being passed around for trial rides like a plate of cookies at Pony Club.

Still, I read them all. Because at the end of the day, horse shopping is equal parts business, heartbreak… and entertainment.

2 Likes

Saw this and agreed with every point. And it’s going to get worse. The dollar is tanking against the Euro right now. Add the 15% tariff and horses in Europe are now costing 25% more than they did just six months ago. Plus, their prices keep going up. I buy from trusted agents and occasionally the reputable auctions. Horses are going for $10k€ more than they were just a few months ago. The market is strong.

But there are still a large number of people who want an imported warmblood for $30-50k. That’s getting harder and harder to find, and the ones I see in that price range tend to have serious quirks or vetting issues. And horses still seem to be selling quickly (I just sold one less than two weeks after it landed here). So I don’t think things are cooling. At least not yet.

And routinely people still say no TBs or appendixes or off-breeds. Or they ignore the saintly step down horses even though they never want to jump higher than 2’6” and those teenaged packers could handle that job for another 5 years at least.

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And people still get stuck on the hack prize, IME! Sure, it’s nice to have a “gimme” ribbon but… that’s one class. If you can find the jumps, there are deals to be had on poor movers - relatively.

Slightly tangential:
“Just do the jumpers” was once a good answer for people on a budget, and it still is to some degree IF you’re skilled enough to make one and will look at TBs or off-breeds. What is tough is that there are comparatively few jumper classes (vs the million divisions per height in the hunters, or so it feels), so you will be up against the bred-to-jump-the-moon 1.40 horse in the 1.0 more often than you’d think - you and all 50 of your buddies :joy:. For some, this is discouraging and surprising when the hunter ring is often the one where people more commonly expect to be outclassed and outnumbered by big spenders every time.

And people consistently underestimate the price of a winning jumper that isn’t trying to kill you the whole time, as well as the skill it takes to ride a course without scaring everyone.

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I have a saintly kid-friendly TB, rated show record, reasonable price. You see these ISO ads on FB like “trying this again… looking for safe bombproof 0.90 packer for low-fives… NoTBs!”
Yeah - no wonder you’re still looking and trying the ISO ad again!

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I agree, however, I found the post disgusting and I don’t know who truly these trainers think are going to be the market moving forward. 3’6 horses starting at 250k, sorry but people can buy a very nice vacation home with that as a down payment. And it doesn’t get injured beyond repair. With how often you have to replace them due to the way these big barns require people to show, there’s a very very small group of individuals who can and WANT TO spend that kind of money on 1 horse that could be broken tomorrow. And the prices for the jumpers are not accurate for what they’re sold in Europe for at those levels.

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Run the classes at the horse show like claiming races. “Junior Working Hunter, claiming $50,000”. “Junior Working Hunter, claiming $100,000”. Open Working Hunter, claiming $1,000,000. No vetting, no trial rides, no knowledge in advance that the claim is going in. A tag just gets placed on the horse when it comes out of the competition ring. The show office collects the cash from the buyer, and pays the seller. No commissions. The seller gets the prize from the class, the buyer gets the horse. The claim is annulled if the drug test is positive.

This keeps things fair for everyone. It gets horses sold, if that’s what you are after, no hassle. Horses of similar value have to compete against each other. The rich people have to compete against other rich people.

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It’s almost like people need to learn to train young horses in the USA again.

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Putting the same show experience on them is SO expensive here that the prices start to make sense - though with… everything… it might start to come out in the wash.

I’m hoping to see more C show/unrated but good circuits and breeders of hunters in the US. But only time will tell.

My favorite line was the bit about “a horse is worth what someone will pay any given Tuesday. Not Monday, not Wednesday. Tuesday.” because that’s exactly it. That 3’6" horse might be worth $500k to Sally today, but worth $200k or $200 tomorrow. That’s horses. And a good reminder that these are not good “investments” to any sane person.

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If you’re selling them for $350k I think you can swing a few shows.

that is not really new though: “Looking for Unicorn, must be pink with sparkles. Pegasus (pegasi?) won’t do and no purple ones either. The spare change from my couch is burning a hole in my pocket”
In the end a horse is worth what the market allows. The fancy hunter in the back country won’t bring much. And much of the price tag is in the polish, not the substance.

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Horses selling for $350k aren’t just going to “a few” shows.

It will be interesting though to see how long The Industry continues like this - it’s not “just” inflation. The richest rich will continue to play at the top of the sport, and the “rest of us” will have to find ways to enjoy our animals elsewhere. Very few people can actually spend $75k+++ on a sport pet…

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At least for the purchase price. Because, really, if you’re showing at the AAAs, you can spend $100,000 in a year just going to shows. It’s stupid expensive at the top.