I’m curious why abx instead of, say, bute, for the inflammation? What are the vet’s thoughts?
Is the colt stalled? If so, keep him out.
It’s not uncommon for growing youngsters to go through growth phases that cause this - butt high, which straightens the stifle.
One of the biomechanical aspects to this is a tight tensor facia muscle, which is basically right there at the flank. So, something you can try next time this happens is to start massaging that - lightly at first, then really get in there as much as he’ll allow.
I don’t know what your vet means exactly by “mechanical failure”, but what’s going on is the patellar ligament is getting hooked over the patellar hook - the exact same mechanism that allows them to lock the leg and sleep standing up - but it’s not unhooking when the horse wants to move. Causes are tight muscles there, including quadriceps, or a ligament that’s too short. In these butt-high growth spurts, that effectively “shortens” the ligament a bit, and combined with the straightened stifle joint, it just asks for UFP.
Yes, most horses outgrow this. It’s REALLY important in the mean time to keep them out of a stall. If there’s an option between a flatter pasture and hillier one, go for the hillier one, as the increased exercise will help strengthen the muscles responsible for getting the ligament off the bone.
Your vet is wrong on the bleakness of this. There has always been a surgical remedy for this if, by the time you get an adult horse whose work is not helping (enough), something more permanent needs to be done. The old remedy was to just cut the ligament. Unfortunately that often results in arthritis around the stifle as the horse ages - you’ve just created an instability.
The newer surgery though involves a few slices along the lines of the ligament to effectively lengthen it. This only works if the ligament is too short/tight.
But unless it’s REALLY serious in a young horse, you still don’t do that because as I said, almost all the time they grow out of this.
Is he in good weight? SOMEtimes this can be helped by adding more fat to the horse, but that’s really only if they are underweight to begin with.