Yep, the market is so flooded right now … even very well bred QH babies out of proven producers are bringing little to nothing.
Of course there will be several people that might feed him the line that ‘the good ones are still worth the money’ …but it’s still like a herd of elephants if someone on those QH forums posts a ‘I’m looking for World Show caliber youngster for less than $2500’
I would check out the sale sites like Dreamhorse and Equine.com for those bloodlines … also take into consideration who is selling to who — some of the auctions have been known to run the bids up on a few, to make it look good.
I would also look at the sire he has chosen – how many foals does he have on the ground, how many performers, what are they bringing at sales, and who is buying them. The demographics of his market and how it is affected by the economy may play a bigger part than he realizes.
Also, what futurities or incentive funds are the stallion nominated to … that can make a difference when it does come time to sell the foal. For example, in the APHA – people won’t hardly look at a Paint baby unless it’s enrolled in the Breeders Trust.
And, like it’s been mentioned, he better plan on keeping the foal until it’s at least 2 years old … no one is buying babies. Truthfully, there is no market in breeding … and probably won’t be for several years.