Your horse care protocol is similar to my own for the last ten years. I can’t point you to technical information on this, but I can give you the benefit of my experiences. We never had “winter grazing” before we moved to our current farm, it was “winter mud” before, we could not use pastures at all during winter.
The quality of your winter grazing depends a lot on the species of grasses and herbs that grow in your field. My summer grazing is a mixture of natural local dryland grasses and low quality swampy grasses (that you would not be impressed with to look at). In summer, this feed is adequate for good health and condition. In winter, our weather gets cold, near -40C some nights, and some snow, requires higher nutrition to keep healthy. My winter grazing is our hayfields, which are alfalfa/grass mix, but a variety of grasses and dandelion, and clover etc. The hay that comes off these fields is very rich, cut at the optimum time, “horse candy”. We have not had our particular hay tested, but other hay from our area (very similar) has tested out at 18% protein. We presume ours is much the same. We also have several small grass fields, which we cut and bale, then graze a bit in the fall. The protein is substantially lower, again, haven’t had them tested, (too small of a crop) but obvious. Hard keepers will lose weight on these fields, especially with fall grazing after optimum growing season.
I also have TBs and TBXs, and feed little or no grain. Just a TM + sel block. I have two mares who can not eat the alfalfa/grass mix hay off the main hay fields, can’t stand that much protein. But they are OK grazing the same fields in the winter. The small crop off the grass fields are for these two. When they come in from winter grazing, they must be separated from the rest, and fed the grass only hay. Otherwise, a variety of symptoms show up. Gut pain related.
If your “winter grass” is grass only, and dead/frozen/snow covered grass, it will be “filler only”, low nutrients. But if you are supplementing it with good quality hay at night, that should counter that, and be adequate for continued good health (and as similar as you can make it to your summer situation). The hay will be richer in nutrition of all sorts than the tired grass that is available at pasture this time of year. Put your TM + sel salt block in the stall, for access during the night, and keep it out of the weather and rain. Rain will leach minerals (selenium mostly) out of the block. Unless your horse tells you that he needs something different from this, no need to make changes.
So while I can’t give you specifics of percentages on protein and sugars, I sure agree that this lifestyle is very beneficial for most horses. I think that in our desire to feed “high quality” feeds to our horses, we are often guilty of “overkill” in this respect, to the extent that it can be a problem for some horses, and effect health negatively. Horses evolved eating grass, a constant supply of grass 24/7. A variety of grasses and herbs. Loading high protein mixed feeds and locking them into cells with bars on the windows without room to run often throughout the day and night and limit herd life can be detrimental to good health, leading to soundness issues, and gut problems, and mental issues (stress).