Disclaimer: I am not recommending this as a system, and I know that there is such a thing as serious handicapping. Just thought that stories of the (few) times that you or someone you know threw a system completely out and picked on a whim and actually had it pay off might be interesting/amusing.
I hit a nice bet today on a medium-shot when I had no idea of horse, trainer, jockey, etc. I am strictly a $2 bettor, maybe a couple of weekends a month. That’s all. Just a little fun and entertainment. But I usually do try to have some rational system of picking horses such as trainer, jockey, workouts, pedigree, how the race sets up tactically, watching the body language in post parade.
Today, I went to TwinSpires to put down $2 on a horse that I liked, very promising second in her debut, now back for second race. However, I had forgotten which race at Ellis Park she was in, so I was scrolling through the field for each race, and I ran into a horse in a prior race who shared my gelding’s name. Shrug. $2 win, place, show, just for the smile of encountering that unusual name unexpectedly. The name was Toccata.
The horse in the later race that I intended to put a bet on placed 4th. Toccata won, and the profits on that one more than paid back my losses on the other. I finish the day three times ahead. Again, just with $2 bets, but still…
When have others decided to throw some money at one now and then for a purely illogical reason and scored?