I would tend to agree with PB. It’s nice to throw numbers around but it would also be nice to have the base documents from which these numbers were derived.
IMO, you can prove almost anything you want from statistics depending on how they are analyzed.
While I would agree with this comment
One area in which the broader consensus is unequivocal, however, is in the existence of pre-existing conditions prior to a catastrophic injury occurring, and the pouring of cold water on the notion of horses simply taking a ‘bad step’.
How the heck would you really be able to “pre-identify” existing conditions prior to a potential breakdown? When a horse does “take a bad step”, how could you, after the fact, identify which part of the injury was pre-existent to the breakdown and which part of the injury was the direct cause of the breakdown? Horses don’t lend themselves to easy identification of small musculo-skeletal lesions which might cause a breakdown due to nature of their body and some of the reasonably inaccessible bones (inaccessible in terms of being able to get good rads).
I can see if more extensive and expensive pre-race diagnostics are done looking for small lesions that might cause problems, that a percentage of horses will be kicked out of racing “early” rather than pay for the diagnostics. Is that a good thing? I don’t know.
What also would be the impact of benching every horse that shows pre-race “lesions” when there is still not enough information, IMO (or at least based on this article) to really know which lesions might actually lead to a breakdown vs those that won’t.
I would agree that more extensive reporting from tracks on both race-day and race-day+72 hours as well as training injuries through 72 hours after, including off-site transport to equine hospital/clinic should be done. Anything that a state mandates should be done with respect to race-day (including necropsy policy) should be carried through to training injuries.
I did think the information on a potential link between training breakdowns and horses arriving from CA tracks was interesting (mostly because Turf Paradise is my closest track).
I know it’s hard when you have tracks located in different states and there is inconsistency in reporting across those states but anything that can be done to collect as much data as possible would be a huge step. Once data is collected, it does need to be analyzed. I also agree with this
But all this data is meaningless if left unanalyzed.
The data needs to be collected and then, yes, analyzed.
IMO, then any “official” reports based on the collected data should be made available to the public.