It’s the talent on two sides
There is no talented horse who achieves without a talented rider/trainer/manager and the rider, trainer, manager can be three seperate people or any combination.
We often sell our best horses to the people with the most money not the most talent.
There is no way to know if those foals we saw unusual talent in could indeed have been the high achievers we imagined unless they went to the best trainers/riders/managers. Even to qualify the best trainer/rider/managers to be the best one for that individual horse especially considering the reactivity being bred into many modern sport horses.
I am 56 this year and over my time I have know a handful of horses that had gobs of talent but who never met a person to realize that talent. I knew a Saddlebred mare in a big name show barn…a Baron de Bastrop daughter…she had all the talent in the world to be a jumper and dressage horse but she would not gait and was a total loss in the Saddlebred world as a 5-gaited type who would not break gait. I met an astounding TB gelding bred by a lady I knew who was built like a potato…the horse belonged in the Olympics as a eventer but she wouldn’t let anyone else ride her baby. The world is filled with horses who were stuck on the wrong path with no one with equal talent to redirect them.
We breed the best we can and are so delighted to see what we get but then we either have to see they are developed or sell them to make money. In Europe the industry is large and the number of talented riders and managers and trainers give these horses a greater chance to emerge from the cocoon. In the US we have so few trainers and riders that the huge majority of them, regardless of their native talent, drift off into obscurity.
If you can move them along in their training before you sell them or if you can afford to hangon til the talent finds them…and you can recognize human as well as equine talent…their chance of achieving dreams is more likely. PatO