[QUOTE=MoSwanson;7824998]
Just my opinion, but I think you are more likely to get a better deal from a large breeder who lives in the real world and who has to sell horses to keep in business. Small breeders sometimes have unrealistic prices on their horses and sometimes have unrealistic self evaluations of their horses.[/QUOTE]
I would have to agree that the number of horses a breeder produces has no bearing in how they price their young stock OR their ability to accurately evaluate those horses. This depends more on the breeder’s experience in the horse industry and their level of horsemanship.
That being said, it can work the other way as well; an “big” breeder can offer deals on youngster sometimes too, so the number of foals a breeder turns out per season probably isn’t going to help you much.
I am a small breeder who does not “work” youngsters at all. They just grow up in fields in herd till they are started at age 3+. Of course they are handled, etc, but not lunged or anything else. I have no doubt there are a number of other breeders (large & small ) to do the same.
For your goals, there should be plenty of horses available when your time comes to buy. It might be more of a challenge to find a 2-3 yr old for <$10K, but again, if you are willing to look at TBx or such, it’s certainly not impossible.
Another idea might be to find the horse you want that is 2-3yrs old and a breeder who will let you make payments. I recently concluded a deal for a filly who was 2.5 yrs old when she was purchased, but the buyer could not afford the whole price ($15,000) at once, so she made payments for about 9 mos. The filly stayed with me, but it was no big deal because the filly wasn’t ready to be started anyway.
When the time comes, start searching FB, sales sites, etc. for something in your price range and then just ask lots of questions as to how the breeder manages their young stock.
Regarding OTTBs…I understand your concern for soundness, but if you get an “old warrior” type who has raced 40-60 times and retires sound, chances are they are tough dudes.