How much weight do you put into the first time in the jump chute? A little background: went to a farm last week, saw a few yearlings loose in the ring, I liked two of them. Of the two, the bay was significantly better balanced, had great changes, powerful hind end, and was a canter horse (preferred the canter to the trot). The chestnut was also a lovely mover, but less balanced, less powerful, and preferred the trot. Both are jumper bred out the wazoo. I’m well aware that chestnut filly could be in a growth spurt and not as balanced for that reason.
A few days later, went back to see them jump (small stuff, under 1m). Bay filly was first - super distracted as her buddy was in the barn. Did not jump well at. all. I was really bummed. She stopped a couple of times (nbd, I think it was her first time in the chute), eventually jumped everything, but with hanging legs and punched out the front rail on the oxer the first time.
Chestnut filly was incredible even careful over the first pole on the ground, jumped with great style over everything. Her buddy was also in the barn so equally distracted.
For various reasons, I like the bay much better. Would you be worried about the first performance in the chute? If they were both so-so, I’d chalk it up to them being young/inexperienced, but with how good the chestnut was, I’m wondering if the bay just isn’t going to be that great of a jumper.