[QUOTE=J-Lu;8200059]
IMO, probably not. European warmblood inspections will maintain the quality breeding in the U.S., and people wanting their horses to be inspected will go there. Mainly because there is so much history and experience at that end.[/QUOTE]
Perhaps. I was just speculating that they will do that if they want the American Warmblood to become an actual breed.
The QH is a very recent breed, having only been around as a breed rather than a type since 1950. The AQHA has unquestionably had some growing pains, but overall they’ve done pretty well at defining and creating a breed. I doubt Trahkeners were completely stabilized as a breed less than 70 years after their inception either. If anything, the modern understanding of genetics has enabled enthusiasts to create a breed faster than ever. My point was that the process was the same.
Where people get confused about the origins of Warmbloods is due to a failure to understand that “heavy” horses of 300 years ago were not “draft” horses as we know them and most of the progenitor stock of the WBs is now extinct. The draft horse as we know it today is also the product of 300 years of breeding but in a different direction. Today’s draft horse is not the heavy horse of 1700. Percherons are a good example. Their original purpose was to provide a large, strong, athletic horse to carry large men in armor. As that need disappeared, they were selectively bred to become true draft horses. Today, they are again being bred to lighter horses in an attempt to get back to something like the original horse. Many of the modern WBs were a carriage horse or light workhorse 100 years ago and the modern sporthorse WB was created by breeding back to lighter horses. This sort of thing happens all the time as the demand for a type of horse waxes and wanes. Few people today would think of hooking their WB to a carriage, but that is exactly what they were used for not that long ago; they are not the same horse of 100 or even 50 years ago. Neither is a Shire or a Belgian. I’m sure you can start with horses available today and create a breed which successfully fills the same niche as the European WB, but it won’t be the same horse because the progenitor stock for that horse no longer exists.