[QUOTE=Calamber;8089731]
Well that is bizarre, Lucky Pulpit is by Pulpit. Kind of related don’t ya think?[/QUOTE]
Commercial thoroughbred breeding is a bit different than other breeds and disciplines. I hope I can explain this a manner that will be acceptable to the breeding “pros” on this board.
In Quarter Horses, for example, it is almost just as good to be a grandson or great grandson of a famous sire as it is to be by that sire himself. That is not so in commercial thoroughbred race breeding.
Speed and the ability to reproduce speed rarely lie dormant like other equine qualities. Horses often have the ability or they don’t. Ideally in a pedigree you want to see stallions who give us blacktype winners and mares who produce blacktype winners.
Pulpit was a very good sire who threw many brilliant racehorses in his short time at stud. He also threw some average horses and clunkers, like the Baatesh horse you linked to above. The reason that Baatesh horse is available for sport horse breeding today is by virtue of his phenomenal pedigree (and I’m guessing his temperament as well). Otherwise there is zero reason to keep a failed claimer who ended his career at Thistledown at stud. But someone was hoping that horse would be able to return on his investment, as he sold for $400K at one point. Not only is he by Pulpit, who is still extraordinarily popular, but he is out of a graded stakes placed mare who has produced runners and a multiple graded stakes placed winner.
Tapit, son of Pulpit, currently stands for $300K a season and is the most popular stallion in the country. His sons and daughters are winning major races everywhere, and many of his sons have retired to the breeding shed thanks to their race record and pedigree.
Lucky Pulpit, on the other hand, has not enjoyed the success of Tapit. Being a listed stakes winner by Pulpit afforded him the opportunity to keep his jewels, but in California instead of Kentucky. Until California Chrome, he stood for a modest $2,500 his entire career and has not given us any other brilliant racehorses. Out of 246 foals of racing age, less than half of them (46%) made it to race and less than a third of them (31%) won a race. He has given no other graded stakes winners besides Chrome, and only two other listed/restricted stakes winners. For comparison, Pulpit himself gave us 81% starters, 58% winners, and 70 blacktype winners. This is why I referred to Lucky Pulpit as an unsuccessful branch of a popular family tree.
California Chrome’s dam Love The Chase was by the regional sire Not For Love, who was a very good sire for the mid-Atlantic but is virtually unknown outside the area. She was just a claimer and has only had 2 foals. Her dam, Chase It Down, did win a maiden special weight, but failed as an allowance horse and also was running claiming races. She literally produced nothing noteworthy. You have to go back to California Chrome’s third dam before you find any blacktype.
Generally speaking, most potential sires fail because they do not reproduce horses as good as themselves. But the horses that are considered most likely to succeed in the breeding shed have both racing ability plus a strong pedigree (both sire and dam line). The stronger those attributes are, the more money people will pay for a horse as a stallion before he has any foals on the ground. Any stallion is going to have to prove himself through his offspring quickly once he actually starts breeding.
Unfortunately for California Chrome, there is little that can change about his pedigree. Also unfortunately for him, he has proved to be a very good race horse, but not a super horse. His owners are chasing “super horse” status to increase his worth, but there’s not much he can do now that will change his standing in the eyes of American breeders. He’s a multiple G1 Kentucky Derby winner, so he absolutely will have mares to breed… but he’s not going to start off his career bringing in $100K a season or anything crazy like that. He just doesn’t have the pedigree, plus he will be competing for mares that would go to Tapit, Tapit sons, or other more successful Pulpit-line horses.
I hope this clears up the confusion.