While I of course agree a good horse is a good horse no matter what size there is a clear marketing gap for ‘overgrown’ ponies. I don’t say they won’t sell, there always is a buyer for a good horse. But they won’t sell anywhere near what a 16.2 hander of comparable quality sells for.
This creates a problem: The breeders are forced to stick to the smallies as the resellers don’t want them (knowing the amount and $$ that go into raising and training are comparable to a 16.2 h horse that will fetch a significantly higher price once it is ‘made’). This deflates the prices for the small ones even more as the breeder doesn’t want to pour all the $$ into them either but wants them gone asap.
The demand is definitely there for small (as in 14.3-15.3 h trained horses) but nobody wants to pay a fair price.
Re. Welsh B growing over 14.2 can not happen really because of the Welsh B size-frame The motherbook in England has recently put an ban on crossing Welsh B to Cobs that affects all Welsh breeders in the mothercountry as well as the rest of Europe. I think it’s good that way because the desired characteristics of the Welsh B are so pronounced because they have been bred so discriminantly for generations and generations.
Another problem I see is in GRP breeders being so obsessed with Endmaß that they miss the existing market for smaller RP. Every so often people ask me wanting a smaller pony with the desired GRP criteria (as in sportivity and conformational correctness) but they can’t find them at least not trained to the level they need them to be at (at least confirmed wtc and reliably jumping small jumps with a kid on).